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1. Looking Forward 2018: What Can Go Right and What Can Go Wrong: (Commentaries); ... icy. A sound monetary policy can foster stability and confidence. An unsound monetary policy can cause major inflation or deflation, recession, or financial chaos. The importance of the upcoming appoint ...; Created on December 26, 2017
2. What’s Going On With Gold?: (Commentaries); ... s including money supply, economic growth, inflation, recession, deflation, or geo-political events. So again, as I said at the beginning of this year, we need to take things one day at a time. We have not yet ...; Created on September 3, 2017
3. 2017 Mid-Year Review: (Commentaries); ... gress since the days not long ago of fears of financial crisis, recession, and deflation. But there are distinct dark clouds forming. Even the world economies could be in the beginning of a possible rol ...; Created on June 28, 2017
4. After 100 Days I Am Now A Trump Supporter: (Commentaries); ... policies could consist of a take-over of the Fed leading to a tight money policy that could bring on a deflationary depression. What changed my mind about Trump is the last 100 days. I always agreed ...; Created on May 2, 2017
5. Looking Forward 2017: Get Ready For Big Changes: (Commentaries); ... most of the rest of the world would head -- and I was betting on the end of the recessionary deflationary bias lingering at that time and the beginning of gradually higher growth and inflation rates. My ...; Created on December 27, 2016
6. President Trump: The Good, The Bad, And the Ugly: (Commentaries); ... ly "win" a trade war - such as Japan which has massive export surpluses, a large manufacturing base, and virtually no immigration - have endured twenty-five years of recession, deflation, and stagnation. Do ...; Created on November 17, 2016
7. When Will They Ever Learn?: (Commentaries); ... purest form. It was intended to give Japan a trade advantage, but did so only briefly. The result of this policy is what you see today -- a country mired in recession, deflation, and stagnation ...; Created on November 4, 2016
8. Why Interest Rates Are Rising and Where We Go From Here: (Commentaries); ... place. Almost all asset classes have suffered, blind sided by the rise in rates. The reason for the reversal is three-fold. First, inflationary expectations have reversed. We've gone from fears of deflatio ...; Created on September 19, 2016
9. Understanding Negative Rates: (Commentaries); ... more than 2% to make a real return. The exercise becomes even more complicated when calculating interest rates in a deflationary environment. If interest rates on saving accounts is zero and deflatio ...; Created on August 13, 2016
10. Mid-Year Outlook For Gold: (Commentaries); ... " I further wrote that I thought we would see a resolution of which scenario wins out in the first quarter -- a move toward a deflationary recession, or one toward an inflationary recovery. The resoluti ...; Created on June 30, 2016
11. Why I Will Never Vote For Donald Trump: (Commentaries); ... eases tariffs on our top trading partners could lead to a deflationary depression just as it did before, and this is the trade policy threatened by Donald Trump. It's that kind of big mistake that prev ...; Created on June 3, 2016
12. When Economics And Politics Collide: (Commentaries); ... . Yet, they are in stagnation and recession, and many are trying to stave off deflation, while America has low but stable growth and prices. A weak currency is supposed to stimulate an economy and inflati ...; Created on April 7, 2016
13. Resolved: The Direction Of Growth And Inflation Is Up: (Commentaries); ... I think we are at the beginning of a new bull market in gold. If we see another leg down, chances are it is telling us we will see deflation and recession world-wide. And if the reverse occurs we ar ...; Created on March 23, 2016
14. A Crash Course on Deflation ...: (Commentaries); The first thing one must understand about deflation is, for all the fear of falling prices, it raises buying power. Obviously, lower gas prices are a good thing for consumers. But if prices fall too far ...; Created on February 9, 2016
15. What could cause the next recession?: (Commentaries); ... s and housing. But one event was a less publicized cause of the Great Depression; it was the deflation in the agriculture sector. As stock prices soared and the "roaring 20's" was in full bloom, agricul ...; Created on January 6, 2016
16. Looking Forward: 2016 A Year Of Resolution: (Commentaries); ... er until inflation or debt concerns reemerge. And at that point, gold will move up for the same reasons. The biggest threats to both gold and economic growth in 2015, in my judgment, are a deflation ...; Created on December 29, 2015
17. An Historical Day For The Fed -- But Not For Raising Interest Rates: (Commentaries); ... Watch gold for the direction of the future. A new leg down in gold suggests a new leg down for the economy and inflation. The deflationary recessionary forces are mounting and must be watched ...; Created on December 17, 2015
18. What’s Safe?: (Commentaries); ... nt the money, you may be forced to sell at a large loss. There's real estate, but that's one of the least liquid investments one can make especially in a deflationary world? Demand for most thin ...; Created on November 11, 2015
19. The New Monetary Activist: (Commentaries); ... e situation we have before us today. You can't tighten the money supply when you face deflation, falling velocity of money, and constant deleveraging in a recessionary deflationary world. A return to a ...; Created on September 10, 2015
20. Good Deflation, Bad Deflation, and QE4 ...: (Commentaries); There is good deflation. During the centuries of the gold standard where there was free trade, balanced budgets, and free markets, gold was exchanged between countries to pay for goods. Nations that ...; Created on August 25, 2015